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Market intelligence

Live forecasts

Browse active prediction markets and see the probabilities implied by current market prices.

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24 events on this page

Page 9

LiveWorldGeopolitics

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Yes5%

No95%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$602.5K

24h volume$59.1K

Liquidity$133.5K

LivePoliticsobama

Obama arrested before 2027?

Yes1.6%

No98.5%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$23.6K

24h volume$10

Liquidity$43.1K

LivePoliticsMiddle East

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?10%

Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?7.5%

12 marketsJan 1, 2027

Volume$1.8M

24h volume$1.6K

Liquidity$215.6K

LiveNATOPolitics

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?1.9%

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?0%

4 marketsJan 1, 2027

Volume$6.4M

24h volume$0

Liquidity$54.3K

LiveElon MuskPolitics

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Yes2.8%

No97.2%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$27.9K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$10.8K

LiveFiscalTrump

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Yes9%

No91%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$2.5K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$293

LiveIsraelTurkey

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Yes9.5%

No90.5%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$483.3K

24h volume$167.5

Liquidity$38.6K

LiveGazaIsrael

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Yes4.5%

No95.5%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$186.4K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$13.4K

LiveTrumpEconomy

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Yes7.4%

No92.7%

1 marketMar 1, 2027

Volume$3.6K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$489.5

LiveNATOUkraine

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Yes1.4%

No98.6%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$1.3M

24h volume$200

Liquidity$58.9K

LiveNorth KoreaForeign Policy

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?12.5%

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?0%

2 marketsJan 1, 2027

Volume$122.8K

24h volume$53.2

Liquidity$2.3K

LiveFiscalTaxes

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Yes32.5%

No67.5%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$73.1K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$1.3K

LivePoliticsWorld

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Yes6%

No94%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$21.9K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$22.2K

LivePoliticsGermany

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?39.5%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?25%

7 marketsJan 1, 2027

Volume$3M

24h volume$22.4K

Liquidity$270.2K

LivePoliticsGeopolitics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Yes3.1%

No96.9%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$163.8K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$12.2K

LiveIsraelGaza

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Yes5%

No95%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$92.7K

24h volume$322

Liquidity$16.6K

LivePoliticsEconomy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?54.5%

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?3.6%

4 marketsJan 1, 2027

Volume$19.3K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$2K

LiveNuclearIran

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Yes3.9%

No96.2%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$280.6K

24h volume$34.3

Liquidity$44.5K

LiveFDVCrypto

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?5.2%

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?4.5%

8 marketsJan 1, 2027

Volume$3.4M

24h volume$4.3K

Liquidity$191.8K

LiveIranGeopolitics

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Yes12%

No88.1%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$624.8K

24h volume$181.3

Liquidity$22.4K

LivePoliticsEconomy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

Yes0.9%

No99.1%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$19.5K

24h volume$78.1

Liquidity$1.9K

LivePoliticsTrump

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

Yes4.6%

No95.4%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$20.3K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$15.8K

LivePoliticsEconomy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Yes9.5%

No90.5%

1 marketJan 1, 2027

Volume$13.9K

24h volume$0

Liquidity$1K

LivePoliticsGaza

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?5.5%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?0%

6 marketsJan 1, 2027

Volume$1.1M

24h volume$12.7K

Liquidity$21.1K

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