LiveVolume: $1.4M
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes4.5%
No95.5%
Ends: January 1, 2027
Compare how the leading outcomes have moved over time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".